The Fresno State Bulldogs (8-1, 4-1 Mountain West) and San Jose State Spartans (4-5, 3-2) meet Saturday at CEFCU Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Fresno State vs. San Jose State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Fresno State has won 3 in a row since falling at Wyoming back on Oct. 7, and a cover last week against Boise State helped the Bulldogs snap a 4-game non-cover streak. Fresno State has scored 31 or more points in each of the previous 3 outings.
San Jose State rolls in on a 3-game winning streak, recovering from a 1-5 straight up (SU) start. Suddenly, the Spartans are thinking bowl game, and San Jose State needs a combination of 2 or more wins in the final 3 outings against Fresno State and San Diego State at home, and UNLV on the road.
The Spartans have covered 4 in a row, 6 of the past 7 games, and 7 of 9 overall on the season. The Under has hit in the past 2 for SJSU, although the Over is 6-3 in 9 games overall.
Fresno State is No. 25 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Fresno State at San Jose State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Fresno State +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | San Jose State -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Fresno State +2.5 (-110) | San Jose State -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Fresno State at San Jose State picks and predictions
Prediction
San Jose State 31, Fresno State 26
Moneyline
SAN JOSE STATE (-140) is worth playing lightly against the ranked visitors. The Spartans have been on fire across the past 3 games, although all 3 victories were against losing teams with a combined record of 10-18. A win over Fresno State (+115) would be a signature win, but it is going to be close.
Against the spread
SAN JOSE STATE -2.5 (-110) is a decent play as long as this line stays under a flat 3. This game should be close, and laying a little bit of points is OK, although honestly I prefer paying up and just going with the ML. That’s how close this one should be.
Fresno State +2.5 (-110) has managed a 1-4 ATS mark in the past 5 games, including non-covers in the team’s only 2 conference road outings.
Over/Under
OVER 54.5 (-110) is worth playing lightly.
The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for Fresno State, while going 3-1 in 4 road games overall — that includes 2 Over results in the team’s pair of conference road games to date.
The Under has hit in the past 2 games for San Jose State, but the Over is 3-2 in the past 5 conference tilts and 6-3 in 9 games overall.
However, know that you’ll be picking against the head-to-head trends, as the Under has cashed in 6 straight meetings dating back to Nov. 26, 2016.
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