The Philadelphia Flyers (25-17-6) travel to meet the Detroit Red Wings (24-18-5) Thursday. Puck drop at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Flyers vs. Red Wings odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Flyers suffered a 6-3 setback against the Tampa Bay Lightning on Tuesday, dropping a 3rd consecutive game. Philly has allowed 5 or more goals in each of the setbacks, getting outscored by an 18-10 margin. The Over has cashed in 4 straight games, while going 5-1-1 in the past 7 outings.
The Red Wings lost 5-4 to the Dallas Stars at LCA on Tuesday. That came on the heels of a 2-1 victory as short ‘dogs at home against the Lightning on Sunday. The Over against the Stars snapped a 4-0 run to the Under.
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Flyers at Red Wings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last update at 6:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Flyers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Wings -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Flyers +1.5 (-225) | Red Wings -1.5 (+180)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Flyers at Red Wings projected goalies
Samuel Ersson (12-7-3, 2.44 GAA, .905 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Alex Lyon (11-6-1, 2.67 GAA, .919 SV%, 1 SO)
Ersson has coughed up 4 goals in each of his past 2 starts, both losses, but he is still a solid 3-2-1 with a 2.19 GAA and .911 SV% with a shutout in 6 starts and 7 appearances in January. Ersson kicked aside all 32 shots in a 1-0 shutout against the Red Wings on Dec. 16.
Lyon is confirmed to start. He is looking to bounce back after allowing 5 goals on 32 shots in a loss to the Stars on Tuesday. He is a solid 6-2-1 with a 2.85 GAA and .919 SV% in 9 starts in January. He appeared against the Flyers on Dec. 16 in Philadelphia, allowing a single goal on 16 shots before departing due to an injury.
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Flyers at Red Wings picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Wings 3, Flyers 2
Moneyline
The RED WINGS (-130) are a solid play at home against the suddenly skidding Flyers (+110).
Detroit has posted a solid 7-2-1 mark in the past 10 games, while going 6-2-1 across the past 9 starts by Lyon.
The Flyers blanked the Red Wings in Philly 1-0 on Dec. 16. In a complete opposite result, Detroit won 7-6 in a shootout on Dec. 22 as the Over connected. The home team has won the past 4 meetings, and 6 of the previous 7 installments of the series.
Puck line/Against the spread
The Flyers +1.5 (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.
If you like Philadelphia, just play the Flyers straight up. AVOID.
Over/Under
The UNDER 6.5 (+100) is worth a look. The total has gone low in 4 of the past 5 meetings in this series, although the most recent battle in Detroit had 13 total goals. Of course, the previous 4 games saw a total of 11 goals, with 2 shutouts.
There is risk playing the Under, as the Over has cashed in 4 in a row for Philly, as the Flyers have allowed 18 goals in the past 3 contests.
The Under is on a 4-1 run for the Red Wings, while going 6-2 in the past 8 contests.
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