Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd.’s (SHSE:600689) stock hasn’t moved much. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.
See our latest analysis for Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)
Zooming In On Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)’s Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company’s profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it’s not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to December 2023, Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) had an accrual ratio of -0.24. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥53m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥17.6m. Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group).
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Surprisingly, given Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)’s accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥8.6m in unusual items. We can’t deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we’d prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)’s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
Our Take On Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)’s Profit Performance
In conclusion, Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)’s accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Given the contrasting considerations, we don’t have a strong view as to whether Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)’s profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. If you’d like to know more about Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) as a business, it’s important to be aware of any risks it’s facing. To help with this, we’ve discovered 3 warning signs (1 shouldn’t be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group).
In this article we’ve looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to ‘follow the money’ and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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Find out whether Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
