Wall Street opens modestly higher as AI-linked stocks rise
US stocks have made modest gains after yesterday’s rout sparked by China’s AI push, as Wall Street opened.
AI-linked stocks rose, recouping some of yesterday’s heavy losses, with chipmaker Nvidia up 2.1% (versus Monday’s 17% drop), Broadcom rising nearly 1%, Super Micro up 1.6% and Arm up 2%.
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Nasdaq up 79 points, or 0.4%, at 19,420
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S&P 500 up 12.9 points, or 0.2%, at 6,025
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Dow Jones up 4 points, or 0.01%, at 44,717
Donald Trump has said that the launch of a chatbot by China’s DeepSeek is a “wake-up call” for US tech firms in the global race to dominate artificial intelligence.
The emergence of DeepSeek, which has built its R1 model chatbot at a fraction of the cost of competitors such as OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Google’s Gemini, wiped $1tn (£800bn) in value from the leading US tech index on Monday.
Key events
Closing summary
US technology stocks remained volatile on Wall Street after Monday’s heavy sell-off sparked by the launch of a new popular Chinese version of ChatGPT, in a challenge to US dominance in the artificial intelligence race.
Shares in Nvidia, a leading US maker of the computer chips that power AI models, see-sawed: they fell a further 2% before trading slightly higher, up a little over 2% at time of writing. This came after Monday’s near-17% slump that wiped nearly $600bn off its market value, in the biggest single day market cap loss in history.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq rose by 0.9% following Monday’s 3% drop, while the broader S&P 500 gained about 0.5%.
Donald Trump has said that the launch of a chatbot by China’s DeepSeek is a “wake-up call” for US tech firms in the global race to dominate artificial intelligence.
Experts have urged caution over rapidly embracing the Chinese artificial intelligence platform DeepSeek, citing concerns about it spreading misinformation and how the Chinese state might exploit users’ data.
Here are today’s other main stories:
Experts urge caution over use of Chinese AI DeepSeek
Experts have urged caution over rapidly embracing the Chinese artificial intelligence platform DeepSeek, citing concerns about it spreading misinformation and how the Chinese state might exploit users’ data.
The new low-cost AI wiped $1tn off the leading US tech stock index this week and it rapidly became the most downloaded free app in the UK and the US. Donald Trump called it a “wake-up call” for tech firms.
Its emergence has shocked the tech world by apparently showing it can achieve a similar performance to widely used platforms such as ChatGPT at a fraction of the cost.
Michael Wooldridge, a professor of the foundations of AI at Oxford University, said it was not unreasonable to assume data inputted into the chatbot could be shared with the Chinese state.
He said:
I think it’s fine to download it and ask it about the performance of Liverpool football club or chat about the history of the Roman empire, but would I recommend putting anything sensitive or personal or private on them? “Absolutely not … Because you don’t know where the data goes.
US AI-linked technology stocks reverse early gains
US technology stocks have reversed their early gains, and Nvidia is now down by 1.5%, while Super Micro Computer has lost a further 4%, following yesterday’s heavy losses.
In Europe, the Dutch chipmaking equipment manufacturer ASML is down by 1.2%.
But, as Russ Mould, investment director at the stockbroker AJ Bell, pointed out, Nvidia’s near-17% plunge on Monday
only pulled the stock back to October 2024 levels. Someone who has owned Nvidia shares since before summer last year should still be sitting on decent gains, even after yesterday’s pullback.
Wall Street opens modestly higher as AI-linked stocks rise
US stocks have made modest gains after yesterday’s rout sparked by China’s AI push, as Wall Street opened.
AI-linked stocks rose, recouping some of yesterday’s heavy losses, with chipmaker Nvidia up 2.1% (versus Monday’s 17% drop), Broadcom rising nearly 1%, Super Micro up 1.6% and Arm up 2%.
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Nasdaq up 79 points, or 0.4%, at 19,420
-
S&P 500 up 12.9 points, or 0.2%, at 6,025
-
Dow Jones up 4 points, or 0.01%, at 44,717
Donald Trump has said that the launch of a chatbot by China’s DeepSeek is a “wake-up call” for US tech firms in the global race to dominate artificial intelligence.
The emergence of DeepSeek, which has built its R1 model chatbot at a fraction of the cost of competitors such as OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Google’s Gemini, wiped $1tn (£800bn) in value from the leading US tech index on Monday.
On Boeing, Peter McNally, global head of sector analysts at the investment service Third Bridge, said:
Boeing closed the books on a tumultuous year with significant losses in the fourth quarter. While some of the results had been preannounced, the 31% year-on-year drop in revenues was stunning as the impact of the machinists strike was felt across the company. Overall revenues were 7% below the consensus forecast and the core loss per share of $5.90 was far worse than the street’s estimate for a loss of $3.07.
Q4 revenues were the lowest for Boeing since the start of 2022, and inventories reached a bloated $8.67bn, the highest since mid-2020. The company burned through $4bn in free cash flow, in line with what the company had previously indicated. Looking back on the quarter, this was one of the most difficult periods for Boeing both operationally and financially.
However, there are a few bright spots and Boeing could have a better year in 2025, he said.
In the Commercial Airplanes segment, backlog increased sequentially in both value and the number of aircraft ordered from customers. The decline that began with the Alaska Air incident last January has been stopped for the time being as the company received orders for more than 200 planes in Q4. In addition, Boeing delivered 15 of their widebody 787’s, the highest quarterly result of 2024.
While Global Services historically has been the smallest revenue segment for Boeing, the business line generated more revenue than defence in Q4 and achieved its highest operating margin on record at 19.5%, up more than 200 basis points from the prior year.
Finally, and maybe most importantly, Boeing repaired its balance sheet, buying the company time to sort out its operations in 2025. After raising capital, the company’s cash and marketable securities stood at $26.3bn, the highest level since the onset of the pandemic.
Third Bridge experts see plenty of challenges ahead for Boeing in its own manufacturing processes as well as in its supply chain that will have to be addressed in 2025 and beyond. A reset on airplane delivery expectations is in order to something more reasonable. Investors will be looking for more guidance on this issue as well as any additional cost savings that can be achieved as deliveries recover.
House prices in the US rose modestly again in November, suggesting a subdued market.
Property values rose by 0.4% from October, leaving the annual growth rate unchanged at 4.3%, according to the Standard & Poor’s CoreLogic 20-city Case-Shiller index.
“This is a far cry from the 6%-7% annual growth rates posted early last year, as a rebound in mortgage rates and growing supply weighed on house price growth in the second half of the year,” said Bradley Saunders, North America economist at Capital Economics.
The modest rise in house prices in November adds to the sense that the housing market is experiencing a bit of a slowdown amid weak buyer demand and gradually rising supply. We think this trend has a bit further to run, before a pickup in homebuying activity should provide some small stimulus around the springtime.
The slowdown in homebuying activity towards the end of last year suggests that house price growth should continue to cool until early 2025. Beyond this, a small recovery in buyer demand should offset growing resale supply, providing some impetus to house price growth. However, with limited scope for mortgage rates to fall this year, any recovery is likely to be limited. We are therefore forecasting a modest 4% rise in house prices this year and next.
US durable goods orders fall unexpectedly
Orders for durable goods in the United States have fallen unexpectedly.
Orders for manufactured goods fell by 2.2% in December, against expectations of a 0.6% rise, while November’s decline was revised lower to 2% from 1.2%, according to the Census Bureau.
New orders fell by 2.4% excluding defence, and increased by 0.3% excluding transportation.
Boeing reports its second-biggest annual loss on record
Boeing has reported its second-biggest annual loss ever after a tough year when it battled to restore stability at its production lines after a harrowing mid-air accident, and faced a crippling strike by US West Coast factory workers.
The US planemaker fell deep into the red with a 2024 loss of $11.8bn, its largest since 2020. A bitter seven-week strike, which halted most jet production, ended in early November, deepening its financial crisis.
Chief executive Kelly Ortberg is battling to turning around the planemaker as it loses more ground to European rival Airbus in the aircraft delivery race and comes under the scrutiny of regulators and customers amid safety fears.
Ortberg, who took the helm in August, said the company was making progress at its production lines. The company posted a loss of $3.9bn in the fourth quarter alone, with revenues down by 31% to $15.2bn, below analysts’ expectations.
Ortberg reiterated the company’s four-part plan to turn the business around including undertaking a “multi-year journey” to fix Boeing‘s culture, “perhaps the most important change we need to make”.
After banking record-high profits in the 2010s, Boeing has lost more than $30bn since 2019 after two fatal crashes of its best-selling 737 Max jet triggered production quality and safety concerns, and worries that it had misled regulators during the plane’s certification process.
The company took a further hit during the Covid-19 pandemic, and the mid-air panel blowout on a nearly new 737 Max a year ago sparked another crisis.
Ortberg said Boeing has made progress with its supply chain and returned to an output rate of five 787 jets a month at the end of 2024, despite delays in areas like seats.
Ortberg was guarded in his message about the status of solving problems with anti-icing systems on the 737 Max 7 and 737 Max 10 models. The company is “still working through the testing phase focusing on finalisation of the anti-icing design solution,” he said.
The company continues to invest in “core businesses while streamlining our portfolio in areas that are not core to our future,” he added.
The UK’s Civil Aviation Authority believes that it has offered a fair pay proposal, which reflects the economic context and financial sustainability of the organisation.
A spokesperson said:
We continue to engage with our union colleagues, and after prolonged discussions it is disappointing that Prospect members have voted to take industrial action. Prospect members make up around one in five of our employees and we do not anticipate any disruption to the aviation sector, or any impact on our regulatory oversight activities or other safety critical work, as a result of this action.
CAA staff to strike next Thursday in pay dispute
Union members working at the Civil Aviation authority (CAA) will take strike action next Thursday in a dispute over pay.
Around 400 members of the Prospect union are involved in the dispute across several sites, but the only picket will be at the CAA’s headquarters in Crawley/Gatwick, with a 24-hour strike planned on 6 February.
Industrial action short of a strike, which has been ongoing since 20 January – namely working to rule and an overtime ban – will pause for the duration of the strike, resuming on 7 February. This ongoing action short of a strike could cause delays across the industry to things like fleet refits, the introduction of new models, licensing of new hanger facilities, the union said.
The CAA imposed a pay offer worth 3%-4% on staff after “going through the motions of negotiating – an offer which neither kept pace with the industry nor civil service,” Prospect said. The CAA is a non-departmental public body.
Rachel Curley, deputy general secretary of Prospect, said:
Despite our ongoing industrial action the CAA has still not come to the table with an offer our members can accept so we have no choice but to escalate to a day’s strike.
There is still time to avoid further industrial action which will be damaging for the industry but the employer needs to restart good faith negotiations.
This is not an issue that is going to just go away and if it continues it will start to impact airlines causing delays to planned upgrades with a knock-on effect felt by passengers.
73% of those who voted backed strike action, and 27% voted against, while 94% voted in favour of taking action short of a strike, and 6% against. Turnout was over the legal threshold.
European shares touch record high
European shares are pushing higher and briefly touched a record high, and one analyst described the UK’s FTSE 100 index as an “island of calm”.
The pan-European Stoxx 600 rose by 0.7%, narrowly beating an intra-day all-time high hit on 24 January, led by retailers such as JD Sports, Kingfisher, which owns B&Q, Castorama, Screwfix, and Brico Dépôt, and Howden.
The European technology index, which took a hit yesterday amid the global tech rout, has bounced back with a near-1% rise. The Dutch manufacturer of chipmaking equipment ASML has gained 0.7%, after yesterday’s 7% tumble.
The FTSE 100 index in London has gained 49 points, or 0.6%, to 8,553 while the German, Italian and Spanish markets are up between 0.5% and 0.7%.
It looks like the Wall Street tech meltdown was short-lived as Nvidia’s shares are trading 4% higher in pre-market trading and futures prices point to small gains for both the Nasdaq and broader S&P 500 today.
Russ Mould, investment director at the stockbroker AJ Bell, said:
Nvidia crashed by nearly 17% which sounds dramatic but only pulled the stock back to October 2024 levels. Someone who has owned Nvidia shares since before summer last year should still be sitting on decent gains, even after yesterday’s pullback.
The DeepSeek shock has reminded investors they cannot be complacent when trying to play the AI trend. Stocks do not travel in unison and neither do they always travel upwards. Sometimes it’s good to be reminded of this. Valuations have been getting lofty in the tech space and investors need to appreciate that richly priced stocks can fall hard on the slightest bit of bad news.
The FTSE 100 continued to be an island of calm, pushing ahead as investors lapped up its plethora of defensive stocks. Utilities and healthcare were in demand, implying that investors were keen to ensure portfolios had some support in case of another tech-related wobble.
Yields on government bonds rose slightly, following yesterday’s declines, as investors await the US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank policy meetings. The Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady tomorrow while the ECB is set to cut borrowing costs by a quarter point on Thursday.
The yield, or interest rate, on the 10-year German bond, the eurozone benchmark, rose by 2 basis points, following yesterday’s 4bps decline.
Here’s a bit more info on DeepSeek.
The company was founded by the entrepreneur Liang Wenfeng, who runs a hedge fund, High-Flyer Capital, that uses AI to identify patterns in stock prices. Liang reportedly started buying Nvidia chips in 2021 to develop AI models as a hobby, bankrolled by his hedge fund. In 2023, he founded DeepSeek, which is based in the eastern Chinese city of Hangzhou.
The company is purely focused on research rather than commercial products – the DeepSeek assistant and underlying code can be downloaded for free, while DeepSeek’s models are also cheaper to operate than OpenAI’s o1.
In an interview with Chinese media, Liang said “AI should be affordable and accessible to everyone”. Liang also said that the gap between US and Chinese AI was only one to two years.
The DeepSeek development raises doubts over the necessity for hefty investment in AI infrastructure such as chips and the market-leading role of US tech companies in AI, which in turn threatens to put American tech sector valuations under pressure.
DeepSeek claims R1 cost $5.6m to develop, compared with much higher estimates for western-developed models, although experts have cautioned that may be an underestimate. Last year Dario Amodei, the co-founder of leading AI firm Anthropic, put the current cost of training advanced models at between $100m and $1bn.
Analysts at US investment bank Goldman Sachs raised the alarm over AI spending last year by publishing a note in June with the title “Gen AI: too much spend, too little benefit?”
It asked if a $1tn investment in AI over the next few years will “ever pay off”, voicing concerns about a return on spending that may have been crystalised by DeepSeek.
Turning to the FTSE 100 index in London, Joshua Mahony at Scope Markets said:
The FTSE 100 continues to sail through choppy water with relative ease, as European traders enjoy a brief period of outperformance built around the general lack of big tech companies this side of the Atlantic. The questions that have emerged around a handful of huge AI-focused US tech companies provide the basis for a massive value recalibration if the DeepSeek news can be taken at face value. However, the FTSE 100 instead finds itself on the rise, with the pessimism over lost earnings for the likes of Nvidia instead standing to benefit global businesses where the financial barrier to entry for those seeking to use AI is lower. Chinese stocks continue to rise as people seek the weigh up the validity of the valuation disparity compared with US in a world where AI isn’t just a US-centric affair.
Energy markets are attempting to claw back losses after yesterday’s slump, as markets continue to weigh up the potential implications of a world under Trump. The prospect of a prolonged halt to the conflict between Isreal and Hamas opens the door to a return to the key shipping route through the Red Sea, driving down transit times as ships avoid the lengthy route around the Cape of Good Hope. Nonetheless, risks remain over the potential breakdown in relations between the US and Canada, as Trump’s irritation over the trade deficit between the two countries ignores the fact that without energy they would actually have a surplus. Therefore, Trump’s desire to utilise tariffs in a bid to pressurise the Canadians could instead damage their supply of oil & gas, which could prove inflationary.
Futures point to higher Wall Street open, Nvidia rises in pre-market trading
US stock market futures point to a higher open on Wall Street later, with Nvidia – battered yesterday by China’s AI push – rising by 5% in pre-market trading, while other technology stocks have also bounced back.
The popularity of China’s DeepSeek’s new AI app led to a rout in US markets yesterday. AI chip leader Nvidia plunged by 17%, wiping nearly $600bn off the company’s market value, the biggest daily loss for any company. The shares are 5.1% higher in pre-market trading, while other AI-linked stocks have also recovered some ground, with Oracle up 3.3% (down nearly 14% yesterday) and Broadcom rising 4.1%, after losing 17.4% yesterday.
The Nasdaq is expected to open about 0.6% higher while the broader S&P 500 is set to rise by 0.3% at the open.
The “Magnificent 7” members Microsoft, Facebook parent Meta, Apple and Tesla are all due to report corporate results in the next couple of days.
Joshua Mahony, chief market analyst at Scope Markets, said:
Looking ahead, all eyes will remain firmly planted on the US tech names, following a session that saw Nvidia lose a record $589bn of its market capitalisation. That decline also pushed Nvidia into the third spot behind Apple and Microsoft after just four days of being heralded as the world’s most valuable company.
The timing of this week’s news will not be lost on many in the markets, with four of the Mag7 names reporting over the course of Wednesday and Thursday. Undoubtedly, we will see many adjust their statements to shed light on how new developments could drastically reduce capital expenditure going forward. However, it is important to weigh up the possibility that Nvidia chips remain a key component of the DeepSeek repertoire, and thus the idea that all development can be done on a shoestring budget remains unproven for the time being.
Halfords shares jump 20% on higher profit outlook
Halfords shares jumped as much as 20% after the UK bike and car products retailer reported robust holiday sales and upgraded its profit outlook.
Halfords said Christmas gifting contributed to 13.1% like-for-like sales growth in its cycling division in December, while colder weather in recent weeks had helped its motoring products with like-for-like sales growth of 5.5% in January.
The 133-year-old retailer said:
In recent months we have seen an improvement in trading alongside continued progress on a number of key initiatives, including our pricing and promotion strategies and cost reduction measures.
Halfords said it is on track to exceed its target of £30m in annual cost savings, and as a result expects to make an underlying pre-tax profit of £32-37m for the year to the end of March. Analysts, on average, are expecting a profit of £28.3m.
However, the company, whose stores sell bicycles, accessories and car parts, and which also has garages, mobile vans and home delivery services, warned that changes to Britain’s minimum wage and national insurance contributions would add direct labour costs of £23m for the year to March 2026.
It said:
While the impact of changes to the minimum wage and national insurance contributions are relatively easy to quantify … their effects on the demand environment and health of the broader economy are harder to predict.
Halfords was founded as a wholesale ironmonger by Frederick Rushbrooke in Birmingham in 1892 (the company takes its name from Halford Street, where Rushbrooke opened a store in 1902 and started selling cycling goods)
House sales in London are at the highest level since the Brexit vote dented buyer confidence, as the property market in the capital bounces back from almost a decade of setbacks, according to Foxtons.
The London-focused estate agency said it was handling the highest number of homes under offer since before the Brexit vote in 2016, as it reported that revenues and profits for 2024 beat market expectations.
Guy Gittins, who started his career at Foxtons in 2002 and returned as chief executive three years ago, said the London house sales market had been “riding high” until the Brexit vote, which hit consumer confidence.
“Once the Brexit vote was announced the number of sales each year, certainly focused on London, started to diminish,” he said.
He said a string of events since then have continued to keep London sales at lower levels, including changes of government, the pandemic and Liz Truss’s mini-budget which fuelled a rise in mortgage rates, affecting buyer affordability.
The sales market has had a very tough time of it since the Brexit vote. 2023 was almost a record low level and last year was still historically quite low.
First-quarter 2025 revenue growth in sales … reflects strong under-offer activity in the fourth quarter.
Amazon is seeking permission to launch drones from its warehouse in Darlington, County Durham, in the latest step towards using the devices to deliver packages to homes.
The technology company is to hold a public meeting with local people next week as it seeks permission from the Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) to use the airspace around its warehouse on the edge of the town, in the north-east of England.
Amazon plans to hire a team to launch same-day drone deliveries, under a service called Prime Air, once it has secured approval from the local council to take off and land at the site.
Customers within 7.5 miles of the warehouse, excluding certain areas not suitable for drones, will be able to opt to use the service or more traditional delivery methods once it launches.