Week 6 of the NFL season has arrived and it’s time to take a look at good underdog bets for the week.
Week 5 was good for the underdog. Seven dogs (out of 14 games) covered the spread and 6 won outright.
Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 6 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
Last week, only 1 of my 3 underdog picks hit, winning outright. The Arizona Cardinals lost at home 34-20 to Cincinnati, not even covering the 3-point spread. My pick of the Houston Texans didn’t win at Atlanta, though they covered the 2.5-point spread in a 21-19 loss.
The Chicago Bears were my lone winner with a 40-20 upset victory Thursday at Washington — they were 6-point underdogs.
Overall, my picks are 9-6 through 5 weeks.
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NFL underdog predictions: Week 6
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:43 p.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.
Vikings at BEARS (+125) – 1 p.m. (FOX)
The Bears (1-4) have come alive offensively, putting up 28 against Denver in Week 4 and then 40 vs. Washington last week.
Minnesota (1-4) has reached 28 points only once this season and has allowed 27 or more in 3 of its last 4 games.
Bears QB Justin Fields has 4 TD passes in each of his last 2 games.
Vikings WR Justin Jefferson is on injured reserve. He is their best offensive player.
This is a great spot for the Bears, who are at home and have had extra days of rest thanks to the Week 5 Thursday night game.
COMMANDERS +2.5 (-110) at Falcons – 1 p.m. (CBS)
As mentioned above, the Commanders (2-3) had their doors blown off 40-20 by the Bears. They’ve now lost 3 in a row, allowing 37.0 points per game (PPG) — giving up 37 to Buffalo in Week 3 and 34 to Philadelphia in Week 4.
Atlanta (3-2) has averaged 11.3 PPG over the last 3 but is undefeated at home for the season at 3-0. Two of Atlanta’s 3 wins have been by fewer than 3 points.
The Commanders have scored 30 or more twice this season.
Atlanta’s methodical run game won’t keep up but expect the Falcons to keep it close.
Saints at TEXANS (+105) – 1 p.m. (FOX)
Don’t be fooled by the Saints’ 34-0 win at the seemingly hapless Patriots last week. Prior to that game, New Orleans (3-2) had not scored more than 20 in a game, averaging 15.5 PPG through the first 4.
The Texans (2-3) have not allowed more than 21 points in their last 3 contests, and they’ve scored 30 or more in 2 of their last 3 games.
Houston QB C.J. Stroud ranks 3rd in passing yards (1,461) — behind Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa (1,614) and Minnesota’s Kirk Cousins (1,498) — and has the offense moving.
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