China Enterprise Company Limited (SHSE:600675) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 32% share price jump in the last month. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.0% over the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, China Enterprise’s price-to-earnings (or “P/E”) ratio of 65x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 29x and even P/E’s below 18x are quite common. Nonetheless, we’d need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for China Enterprise as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for China Enterprise
Although there are no analyst estimates available for China Enterprise, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
China Enterprise’s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that’s expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 41% last year. However, this wasn’t enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 82% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market’s one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it’s an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it’s alarming that China Enterprise’s P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren’t willing to let go of their stock at any price. There’s a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
The strong share price surge has got China Enterprise’s P/E rushing to great heights as well. It’s argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We’ve established that China Enterprise currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders’ investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we’ve discovered 5 warning signs for China Enterprise (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than China Enterprise. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
