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Dollar edges higher ahead of key CPI release



© Reuters

By Peter Nurse

Investing.com – The U.S. dollar edged higher in early European trade Monday, trading close to a five-week high ahead of the week’s keenly-awaited U.S. inflation data, which could provide more clarity about the Federal Reserve’s rate hike path. 

At 03:05 ET (07:05 GMT), the , which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.1% higher at 103.640, not far removed from last Tuesday’s high of 103.96, the strongest level since Jan. 6.

Tuesday sees the release of the latest U.S. , which is expected to show that monthly rates ticked up in January, but the annual measures declined.

Traders appear to be favoring the greenback protectively ahead of the CPI report, after revisions to the previous data set showed consumer prices rose in December instead of falling as previously estimated. Friday’s also showed a one-year inflation outlook above January’s final number. 

A strong inflation print could force markets to rethink whether the Fed will actually cut rates this year, particularly after the strong jobs report earlier in the month.

has also benefited from its safe haven status as the U.S. shot down a fourth object over North America over the weekend, raising fears of further geopolitical tensions after a Chinese spy balloon was shot down last week.

Elsewhere, climbed 0.6% to 132.13, with the yen handing back a lot of Friday’s gains after speculation linked academic Kazuo Ueda to the role as the next governor of the Bank of Japan.

Ueda had been seen as something of an outsider who could change the central bank’s current ultra-easy policy, but this optimism has been diluted ahead of Tuesday’s announcement after he expressed support for the central bank’s current position.

traded flat at 1.0675, not far removed from Monday’s five-week low of 1.0656. The European Commission is set to release quarterly economic for the euro area on Wednesday, and the Eurozone is to release revised data on Tuesday.

fell 0.1% to 1.2049, remaining weak after data released Friday showed that while the U.K. narrowly avoided a technical recession in the final quarter of 2022, still fell 0.5% on the month in December.

rose 0.3% to 6.8299, with speculation mounting that the Chinese authorities will further ease monetary policy to try and generate growth as the country emerges out of its strict anti-COVID measures.



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