The Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) welcome the Green Bay Packers (3-5) to Acrisure Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Packers vs. Steelers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Steelers beat the Tennessee Titans 20-16 at home in Thursday Night Football on Nov. 2. Pittsburgh covered as a 3-point favorite and is 5-3 against the spread (ATS) this season and 1-7 O/U. It is 3-2 ATS at home. The focal point of this Steelers team is its defense, having allowed 20 or fewer points in 4 straight games.
The Packers beat the Los Angeles Rams in Week 9, winning 20-3 and covering as a 4-point home favorite. They are 4-4 ATS on the season and 2-2 ATS on the road. Green Bay is 3-5 O/U and 0-4 O/U in its last 4 games. Packers QB Jordan Love has 12 TDs and 1,720 passing yards in 8 games.
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Packers at Steelers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:17 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Packers +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Steelers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Packers +3 (+100) | Steelers -3 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 39 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Packers at Steelers key injuries
Packers
- CB Jaire Alexander (shoulder) doubtful
- NT Kenny Clark (shoulder) questionable
- OT Yosh Nijman (back) questionable
- LB Quay Walker (groin) doubtful
Steelers
- S Minkah Fitzpatrick (hamstring) out
- DT Montravius Adams (ankle) out
Packers at Steelers picks and predictions
Prediction
Steelers 17, Packers 13
Moneyline
PASS.
Green Bay is 1-3 straight up on the road. It lost to Denver, Las Vegas and Atlanta, so it hasn’t played the best of the best away from home. Expect the Steelers to be able to get to Love and ultimately win this game. At -175, pass on playing them to win outright though.
Against the spread
LEAN STEELERS -3 (-120).
Walker has been in the middle of the Packers defense for most of the season, so his likely absence could sting. The Packers are 1-4 ATS over their last 5 games as well, so they haven’t necessarily been playing their best football.
The Steelers are 3-1 ATS over their last 4 and 2-1 ATS at home over that span. The Pittsburgh defense has been forceful while its offense is starting to come around, scoring 20 or more in 2 of its last 3 games.
Considering the trends for both sides, back STEELERS -3 (-120).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 39 (-110).
The Steelers have gone Under in 6 straight games, 2 of which had a total below this one. Pittsburgh nor its opponent has scored more than 25 points in 4 straight games.
Green Bay’s offense has also stalled often as it has scored 20 or under in 6 straight games and has gone Under the total in 4 in a row. The Packers defense has allowed over 20 points just once in the last month.
Expect a defensive game and take UNDER 39 (-110).
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