Global Economy

Independent voters, who they are going to vote for, will decide whether Trump or Harris will win the U.S. Elections



To win over the undecided and independent voters, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump will need to make a strong impression. It can be challenging to identify independent voters by nature. All social groups who don’t strongly identify as Republicans or Democrats are included in this term, regardless of their circumstances.

Due to the similar local influences, conversations, and policy concerns that shape independent voters, it can be challenging to forecast how independents will vote nationally. However, statewide data may be more insightful.

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Except for Arizona, where Trump leads by a significant +14 points, Harris leads among independents in all of the swing states. The data comes from a series of fresh Morning Consult surveys conducted through September 8. State-by-state variation is evident in the preferences of independent voters for the next president; in the swing states, Harris’s lead ranges from +20 points in Wisconsin to just +5 in Pennsylvania.

Independents are not just about swing states. According to the polls, independent voters are supporting Harris in two predominantly Republican states where Trump has won the past two elections. In Florida and Texas, Trump leads by +2 and +9 points, respectively. However, when examining independent voters alone, the numbers shift in favour of Harris winning the presidency, with the Democratic nominee in Florida holding a sizable +10-point advantage.


Also Read : Obama’s half brother Malik trashes Biden-Harris agenda, says Trump will win second term The debate in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, will be significant for both presidential campaigns. This poll shows that Harris leads among the independents but with a small margin compared to the other states. The economic condition of Pennsylvania is considered the most important issue that concerns the voters; this issue is seen as the most important one by 58% of them. Arizona leads overall and among independent voters, with 27 % believing the economy is the most crucial issue. In Florida, independents are slightly more likely to pinpoint abortion as the most important issue (11% compared to 10%). Among independent and statewide voters, the most pressing problem is housing affordability. With Trump ahead by just +2 points, an independent swing to the left may be troublesome news for Harris’s campaign.

FAQs:

Of the states with independent voters, which one does Kamala Harris lead?
In most swing states, Harris leads among independent voters, except for Arizona, where Trump leads by +14 points.

Which issues are most important to independent voters?
Depending on the state, independent voters prioritize matters such as the economy, immigration, the affordability of housing, and dangers to democracy.

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